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蒋新宇
特聘研究员
毕业于日本京都大学防灾研究所,信息学博士。研究方向为灾害经济学、应急管理、综合灾害风险管理和灾害信息学。现任应急管理学系副主任。关注从自然灾害到经济损失到应急管理的跨学科灾害风险问题。围绕“灾害模拟、风险评估和损失评 估,灾害管理”,发表论文30余篇。主持包括国家自然科学基金青年基金、面上基金等国内外科研项目多项。担任国际综合灾害风险 管理协会(IDRiM)会刊IDRiM Journal编辑,Cafe论坛及系列演讲会IDRIM Lecture Series的主持人。2022年9月,获国际综合灾害风险管理协会“Aniello Amendola奖”。 主持项目: 1. 国家自然科学基金面上项目:面向损失-恢复过程的洪涝灾害经济影响评估多智能体模型构建与应用,主 持,42477498,直接经费:47万,2025.01-2028.12 2. 国家自然科学基金青年项目:考虑损失空间波及效应的洪涝灾害风险评估研究,主持,41907393,直接经费:27 万,2019.01-2021.12 3. 科技部国际合作交流项目:暴雨洪涝灾害情景下企业生产能力损失恢复及波及效应研究, 主持,经费:25 万,2022.01-2022.12 4. 京都大学防灾研究所国际合作项目:基于多维vine-copula的洪涝灾害风险评估:考虑暴雨的时空相关性(Flood risk assessment with high dimensional vine copulas: A methodology considering spatial-temporal correlation of rainfall ),主持,500万日元, 2021.04-2023.03 5. 亚洲开发银行咨询项目: Supporting Climate Resilience and Ecological Sustainability Projects,Disaster Risk Expert and Team Leader (Resource Person),TA-10018 PRC: 56194-001 (2.7万美元),2023.05-2023.12 6. 武汉市采购项目: 洪山区智慧水务发展战略及顶层架构研究,主持,28.28万,2019.12-2020.12 7. 日本JICE项目:時空間相関を考慮した地先の水害リスクの評価方法に関する研究,共同主持,400万日元,2015.04- 2017.04 参与项目: 1. 国家自然科学基金项目:面向洪涝灾害风险评估的空间CGE模型构建与应用研究,第一参与人,42177448,直接经费: 56万元,2022.01-2024.12 2. 国家自然科学基金项目:暴雨洪涝灾害情景下企业生产能力损失及恢复研究,第一参与人,41807504,直接经费:25万 元,2019.1-2021.12 3. 日本文部省项目:不确定性下风暴潮淹没风险适应政策的经济评价(不確実性下における高潮浸水リスク適応政策の経済 評価),研究员,600万日元,2016.4-2018.4 4. 日本文部省项目:气候变化风险的社会经济影响及适应措施评价方法构建(気候変動リスクの社会・経済影響と適応策の 評価手法の構築),研究员,2500万日元 ,2012.04-2017.03 [1] JIANG X.; WANG X.; FANG Y.; YANG L.; TATANO H. ; An agent-based model for the assessment of the ripple effect of disaster economic losses considering firms’adaptive behaviors, International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 2024, 111: 104646 (灾害经济灾害管理) [2] 蒋新宇; 韩晨; 杨丽娇 ; 试论综合灾害风险管理:思想、目标与路径, 灾害学, 2024, 39(4): 131- 137 (灾害管理) [3] YANG L, WANG X, JIANG X*,TATANO H. Assessing the Regional Economic Ripple Effect of Flood Disasters Based on a Spatial Computable General Equilibrium Model Considering Traffic Disruptions[J].International Journal of Disaster Risk Science,2023,Vol.14(3):488-505 (灾害经济灾害管理) [4] JIANG X, JIA R, YANG L. Assessing the economic ripple effect of flood disasters in light of the recovery process: Insights from an agent-based model[J]. Risk analysis, 2023. (灾害经济灾害管理) [5] JIANG X, LIN Y, YANG L. A simulation based approach for assessing regional and industrial flood vulnerability using mixed MRIO model: A case study of Hubei Province, China[J]. Journal of Environmental Management, 2023. ( 灾害经济灾害管理) [6] 蒋新宇, 马雪莹, 杨丽娇. 回归分析框架下洪涝灾害脆弱性曲线构建方法综合比较研究[J]. 水利学报, 2022. (灾害经济灾害管理) [7] HA S, FUJIMI T, JIANG X, et al. Estimating Household Preferences for Coastal Flood Risk Mitigation Policies under Ambiguity[J]. Earth's Future, 2022. (灾害经济灾害管理) [8] 蒋新宇, 范久波, 张继权, 等. 基于GIS的松花江干流暴雨洪涝灾害风险评估[J]. 灾害学, 2009,24(03): 51-56. (灾害管理) [9] 杨丽娇, 蒋新宇*, 张继权. 自然灾害情景下社区韧性研究评述[J]. 灾害学, 2019,34(04): 159-164. (灾害管理) [10] 宋英华, 刘含笑, 蒋新宇*. 基于知识元与贝叶斯网络的食品安全事故情景推演研究[J]. 情报学报, 2018,37(07): 712-720. (灾害管理) [11] YANG L, KAJITANI Y, TATANO H, JIANG X. A methodology for estimating businessinterruption loss caused by flood disasters: insights from business surveys after Tokai Heavy Rain in Japan[J]. Natural Hazards, 2016,84: 411-430. (灾害经济) [12] JIANG X, MORI N,TATANO H, et al. Estimation of property loss and business interruption loss caused by storm surge inundation due to climate change: a case of Typhoon Vera revisit[J]. Natural Hazards, 2016,84: 35- 49. (灾害经济) [13] 蒋新宇,方远, 杨丽娇.基于复杂网络模型的灾害损失空间波及效应研究 ——以湖北省洪涝灾害情景为例[J]. 灾害学, 2023. [14] 杨丽娇,蒋新宇.洪涝灾害直接经济损失评估国内外研究动态和应用实践[J].中国减灾,2022, 432(21):24-27. [15] SAMADDAR S, SI H, JIANG X, et al. How Participatory is Participatory Flood Risk Mapping? Voices from the Flood Prone Dharavi Slum in Mumbai[J]. International Journal of Disaster Risk Science, 2022,13(2): 230-248. [16] YANG L, CHEN Y, JIANG X, et al. Multistate Models for the Recovery Process in the Covid-19 Context: An Empirical Study of Chinese Enterprises[J]. International Journal of Disaster Risk Science, 2022,13(3): 401-414 [17] MA L, HUANG D, JIANG X, et al. Analysis of Influencing Factors of Urban Community Function Loss in China under Flood Disaster based on Social Network Analysis model[J]. International journal of environmental research and public health, 2022, 19(17): 11094. [18] YANG L, WEI C, JIANG X*, et al. Estimating the Economic Effects of the Early Covid-19 Emergency Response in Cities Using Intracity Travel Intensity Data[J]. International Journal of Disaster Risk Science, 2022,13(1). [19] 蒋新宇, 林越, 杨丽娇. 基于Mixed-MRIO 模型的洪涝灾害脆弱性区域产业识别——以湖北省为例[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2022. [20] 杨丽娇,王信歌, 蒋新宇*.疫情初期湖北省应急响应对区域经济系统后向关联影响研究[J]. 灾害学, 2022, 37(3). [21] YANG L, QI Y, JIANG X*. An Investigation of the Initial Recovery Time of Chinese Enterprises Affected by COVID-19 Using an Accelerated Failure Time Model[J]. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 2021,18(22): 12079. [22] MA L, YANG L, JIANG X, et al. Analysis of Business Interruption Risk Factors of Chinese Enterprises during Flood Disasters based on Social Network Analysis[J]. Climate Risk Management, 2021,33: 100353. [23] SI HA, TATANO H, MORI N, FUJIMI T, JIANG X. Cost–benefit analysis of adaptation to storm surge due to climate change in Osaka Bay, Japan[J]. Climatic Change, 2021,169(3-4). [24] JIANG X, YANG L,TATANO H. Assessing Spatial Flood Risk from Multiple Flood Sources in a Small River Basin: A Method Based on Multivariate Design Rainfall[J]. Water, 2019,11(5): 1031. [25] JIANG X, MORI N,TATANO H, et al. Simulation-Based Exceedance Probability Curves to Assess the Economic Impact of Storm Surge Inundations due to Climate Change: A Case Study in Ise Bay, Japan[J]. Sustainability, 2019,11(4): 1090. [26] 杨丽娇,丁晓楠, 蒋新宇*. 洪涝灾害情景下企业停产及恢复时间研究——基于余姚市“菲特”台风受损企业调查数据[J]. 灾害学, 2020,35(03): 110-117. [27] 宋英华, 马连隆, 杨丽娇, 蒋新宇.基于模糊BN的企业业务中断风险分析分析:以洪涝灾害情景为例[J]. 中国安全科学学报, 2019, 29(6): 1-6. [28] 蒋新宇, 杨丽娇. 浅析日本综合防灾的源流:对策的转变和京都学派的观点[J]. 城市与减灾, 2019(06): 6-13. [29] SAMADDAR S, OKADA N, JIANG X, et al. Who are Pioneers of Disaster Preparedness? - Insights from Rainwater Harvesting Dissemination in Bangladesh[J]. Environmental Management,2018, 62(3): 474-488. [30] YANG L, TATANO H, KAJITANI Y, JIANG X. A Case Study on Estimation of Business Interruption Losses to Industrial Sectors Due to Flood Disasters[J]. Journal of Disaster Research,2015,10(5): 981-990. [31] JIANG X, TATANO H, HORI T. A Methodology for Spatial Flood Risk Assessment Taking Account of the Spatial-Temporal Characteristics of Rainfall[J]. Journal of Integrated Disaster Risk Management, 2013, 3(1). |
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